Tuesday 25 March 2008

Ogilvy weathers storm to land 55/1 victory

Members of Elliott's Premier Sports Betting were given an Easter bonus with a hugely profitable 55/1 victory for Geoff Ogilvy in the WGC event at Doral.

Here's the in-depth analysis that Keith gave to his members on Monday's Early Birdie Line (3 days before the start of the tournament, enabling his members to get the best possible price of 55/1 EW in the Outright market and 25/1 EW in the 'without Woods' market):

1. Ogilvy has found his form in the last couple of weeks - he's finished 10th in the PODS Championship, and 14th yesterday in the Arnold Palmer at Bay Hill after a superb 66 in R4.
2. He was T4th for GIR last week - a key stat as accurate approach play is the key at Doral.
3. Last week his putting improved round by round - he took 33-31-28-27 putts in the four rounds.
4. Last year here Ogilvy was T3rd - he was the ONLY player in the field then to go under par on both the par 3s and the par 4s yet he managed only par on the sixteen par 5s. Put another way he was SIX shots better than Tiger on the par 3s & 4s yet Tiger was TEN shots better than Geoff on the par 5s!! So can Geoff improve on the par 5s this week compared to last year? YES - after all yesterday in his final round at Bay Hill he had a birdie and an eagle on the two par 5s.
5. Last year at Bay Hill before playing at Doral he was 14th and this year he's also finished 14th so there's every chance that Geoff might play as well as last year especially if the winds blow.

IN SUMMARY: Geoff is now in the form he was in last year when he got to Doral and this three time US winner who is a big tournament specialist with US Open and a WGC Matchplay to his credit looks just the sort of player who could well play really well here again this year. Worth a bet in both the outright and w/o Woods markets. 50/1 or more looks a cracking EW price in the outright market.

For more details about the service visit Elliott's Premier Sports Betting at www.keithelliott.co.uk.

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